Odds Marlins Win World Series

  • With spring training underway, the Marlins have the third-worst odds of winning the World Series, according to the website Sports Betting Dime.At 300/1, Miami odds are only above the Detroit.
  • The Marlins’ season win total was listed at 64.5 at FanDuel prior to the season being postponed due to the coronavirus, and they are tied with a few other franchises as the teams with the longest odds to win the World Series at 500/1. 2020 Miami Marlins World Series Betting Online Odds at FanDuel +50000.
  • The Marlins don’t have the worst odds in the Majors to win the World Series at +8000, but they are also still in the bottom half of the odds board. They are +4000 to win the NL and +3300 to win the.
  • USA TODAY - The Miami Marlins surprised many in the shortened 60-game 2020 regular season by going 31-29 and earning a playoff berth as the second seed in the National League East. We look at the Miami Marlins’ MLB futures odds, including their projected 2021 win total and World Series odds at BetMGM.

Before the 2012 season, the Marlins organization had been known as the Florida Marlins. That version of the Marlins franchise won two World Series titles and was relatively competitive each year. Since the franchise changed its name to the Miami Marlins for the 2012 season, the team has been an absolute disaster. They have finished under .500 in every season and topped 90 losses three times in seven years. That was until the 2020 shortened season happened, and the Marlins were somewhat respectable.

What are the odds your MLB team wins the World Series? Ty Bronicel 7/1/2020. Miami Marlins (250/1). Could it be that the Twins are destined to win the World Series?

Last season, the Marlins finished the year with a 31-29 record, which was good enough for second place in the NL East. They made the postseason for the first time since 2003 and they actually beat out the Cubs 2-0 in the National League Wild-Card Series. From there, the Marlins were swept by the Braves in three straight and failed to score a single run in Games 2 and 3. Nonetheless, positive momentum has been built, and the team is hoping that they can sustain it for 162 games this year and find themselves back playing October baseball.

The Miami Marlins kick off their 2021 campaign with a six-game homestand, starting with a three-game, inter-league set against the World Series finalists, Tampa Bay, followed by a three-game set with the St. Louis Cardinals. From there, the Marlins hit the road for seven games, starting with three at Citi Field against the Mets and four at Truist Park in Atlanta.

The Marlins don’t have the worst odds in the Majors to win the World Series at +8000, but they are also still in the bottom half of the odds board. They are +4000 to win the NL and +3300 to win the NL East, which is dead last by a long shot. Their season win total is 74.5, so as you can see, Vegas does not like the Marlins’ chances of picking up where they left off last year and nabbing a playoff spot.

Marlins 2021 Projected Lineup

The Marlins’ projected batting order is borderline embarrassing. They’ve continued to go through the organization and sell off any pieces that are worth a few bucks. This year, the Marlins lineup is void of any speed and/or power from one through nine in the batting order. It should look something like this:

  1. Corey Dickerson
  2. Starling Marte
  3. Jesus Aguilar
  4. Brian Anderson
  5. Adam Duvall
  6. Miguel Rojas
  7. Jon Berti
  8. Jorge Alfaro
  9. Pitchers Spot

I mean, come on. As you can see, this lineup leaves a lot to be desired. The top of the order features three guys over 30 years old, with Dickerson the oldest at 32. Dickerson isn’t your prototypical leadoff guy as he doesn’t hit for power, or average, and has a below-average OBP for a leadoff man. If you can’t get the leadoff guy aboard more times than not, the rest of the lineup will struggle for pitches to hit. If we go off just last year’s shortened season numbers, the trio combined to hit just 21 home runs in 60 games.

Behind him, you will find a mixed bag of cast-offs that the Marlins scooped up in trades for their better players. Starling Marte has been on a downward trajectory for quite some time, having notched just 49 home runs over the last three seasons, while driving in just 181 runs in that span. He’s old, and he’s a far cry from the player he was with the Pirates early on in his career. As for Aguliar, he has just one good year to his name, and that was in 2018 when he hit 35 home runs and drove in 108. Can he be the answer to the Marlins’ hitting problems? Only time will tell.

Further down the lineup, you’ll find Anderson, who will play third base, Duval, who will play right field, and Rojas, who will play shortstop. This trio is not exactly a who’s who of players, but it was Anderson and who led the team in home runs last year with 11, and the addition of Duvall’s 16 home runs from last season while in Cincinnati should help bolster the offense.

Marlins 2021 Projected Rotation & Closer

Odds Marlins Win World Series

If you think the Marlins’ batting order is bad, wait till you see the starting rotation and bullpen. Sandy Alcantara is being forced into the “ace” role, which says it all. Alcantara is coming off a season where he started seven games and earned a 3-2 record. He’s the only Marlins’ pitcher to have an ERA close to sub-three (3.00).

Behind Straily, the Marlins will rely on a quartet that includes Pablo Lopez, Elieser Hernandez, Sixto Sanchez, and Trevor Rogers. Out of this batch of pitchers, Hernandez has the most upside. He finished last season with a 1-0 record and a 3.16 ERA in six regular-season starts. The 25-year-old has been able to drop his ERA in each of the last three seasons, and he’ll need to put together an even better campaign to help the Marlins finish the season with a somewhat respectable record.

Another issue the Marlins have is their bullpen. The closer for this season figures to be Anthony Bass. However, with a season win total of 74.5, how many games are the Marlins realistically going to need him to save? Last season, Bass saved seven contests, and he’s the only player in the pen with closing experience.

Marlins 2021 Predictions

FanGraphs projects Miami to win a grand total of 72 games this year, which would leave them short of their win total. That’s the fourth-worst record in the Majors. And when you dissect the roster and notice how much better the other teams in the division are, it’s almost a no-brainer to take the under. Also, taking the under here would have you avoid laying the -200 or higher price tag each game to fade the Marlins.

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The Marlins are once again projected to be NL East cellar dwellers. However, that prognosis is also largely a reflection of the caliber of competition within their division. The Braves, Nationals, Mets and Phillies all have exceedingly bright outlooks and a significant advantage over Miami in talent. That’s not to say Miami didn’t add some punch to a moribund lineup that finished with an anemic .241/.298/.375 slash in 2019. Jesus Aguilar, Corey Dickerson, Matt Joyce and Jonathan Villar – all proven veterans with varying degrees of power — were brought in to complement burgeoning bats Brian Anderson, Harold Ramirez, Jorge Alfaro and Garrett Cooper. The problem for Miami offensively can largely be narrowed down to depth, however; beyond what could be a solid starting nine, the Fish are in dangerous waters in the event of even a couple of extended absences. Granted, a 60-game regular season reduces the cumulative opportunities for injuries. However, the very reason the season is that length to begin with, COVID-19, can naturally strike any player(s) at any time and for extended periods.

The Marlins staff will once again be an intriguing mix of talented up-and-coming arms whose unsightly 2019 records were partly the reflection of a lack of offensive support and a bullpen that allowed a bloated 4.97 ERA. Sandy Alcantara will serve as the de facto ace. The first-time All Star posted a deceptively bad 6-14 record last season that was offset by a 3.88 ERA. Lefty Caleb Smith and the hard-throwing duo of Pablo Lopez and Jose Urena all need to achieve more consistency and control, especially in a cutthroat division like the East.

Miami did avail itself of an interesting closing candidate this offseason in Brandon Kintzler. The right-hander showed surprisingly well for the Cubs in his age-34 season in 2019 by posting 17 holds, a 2.68 ERA and 1.02 WHIP across 62 appearances. Kintzler also recorded 46 saves for the Twins and Nats during the 2016 and 2017 seasons. However, if he proves incapable of consistently shutting the door, manager Don Mattingly could turn to Ryne Stanek or Brad Boxberger. The pair of former Rays both have the stuff and experience to be utilized in a closing capacity.

There are certainly occasions when taking a flyer on a long shot is warranted. However, enticing as the prices on their futures are, the Marlins simply don’t seem to have a logical path to even take their very tough division, much less accomplish anything beyond that. Sure, in as unpredictable a season as 2020 promises to be, anything can theoretically happen. Nevertheless, all four of the Marlins’ division mates are exponentially more talented in the all-important area of pitching. That once again looks set to be Miami’s biggest downfall this season.

An example of how a wager on the Marlins winning the NL East would pay out at the current odds listed above is as follows:

Wager amount: $10.00

Division winner odds: (DraftKings Sportsbook): +10000

Payout: $1,010.00: ($1000 + original $10.00 bet amount)

Marlins odds: Futures

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Marlins betting breakdown

2019 record: 57-105

Key losses: 2B Starlin Castro, LHP Wei-Yen Chen, OF Curtis Granderson, 3B Martin Prado, SS JT Riddle, IF Neil Walker

Key additions: 1B Jesus Aguilar, RHP Brad Boxberger, C Francisco Cervelli, OF Corey Dickerson, RHP Yimi Garcia, OF Matt Joyce, RHP Brandon Kintzler, OF Matt Kemp (since released), UT Sean Rodriguez, LHP Stephen Tarpley, 2B Jonathan Villar

Projected starters/lineup:

1. CF Jonathan Villar (S)

2. 3B Brian Anderson (R)

3. LF Corey Dickerson (L)

Marlins

4. 1B Jesus Aguilar (R)

5. RF Matt Joyce (L)

6. 2B Isan Diaz (L

7. DH Garrett Cooper (R)

8. C Jorge Alfaro (R)

Vegas Odds On Marlins To Win World Series

9. SS Miguel Rojas (R)

Projected rotation: RHP Sandy Alcantara, LHP Caleb Smith, RHP Pablo Lopez, RHP Jose Urena, RHP Jordan Yamamoto

Projected closer: RHP Brandon Kintzler

Miami Marlins Odds To Win World Series

Bullpen strengths: Brandon Kintzler, a 2017 All Star, is the likely closer and posted a 2.68 ERA and 49 SO over 62 games in 2019 with the Cubs Yimi Garcia will be utilized in late-inning situations after a solid 2019 with the Dodgers. Garcia posted a 3.61 ERA in 62.1 IP with 66 Strikeouts.

Odds Marlins To Win World Series

Bullpen weaknesses: Drew Steckenrider is coming off an injury-shortened season in 2019, when he was sidelined by a flexor strain. Steckenrider ultimately posted a 6.28 ERA in 15 games. He is reportedly healthy and in line to fill a setup role in 2020. Adam Conley is looking to rebound after a poor 2019. The left-hander posted a 2-11 record and 6.53 ERA across 60 appearances. Ryne Stanek was traded from the Rays to Miami in 2019. Stanek’s 22 appearances with the Marlins were a bit rough, as he posted a 5.48 ERA with one save, 28 SO and nine games finished in 21.1 innings.

Marlins Odds To Win World Series

Key Stats from 2019

  • Jorge Alfaro had a productive 2019 -.262/.312/.424 with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs over 130 games. However, he also posted an astronomical 33.1 percent strikeout rate.
  • Jesus Aguilar’s production dipped from 35 HRs & 108 RBIs in 2018 to 12 HRs & 50 RBIs in 2019.
  • Jonathan Villar recorded a career-high 24 HRs and 73 RBIs in ‘19 with the Orioles.
  • Brian Anderson is likely to start at third base after logging 67 games at the hot corner in 2019, along with 55 in right field. Anderson hit .261 with 20 HRs and 66 RBIs in ‘19.
  • Lewis Brinson enters a pivotal season after hitting .173 with no HRs in 75 major-league games with the Marlins in 2019.
  • Sandy Alcantara was the lone Miami All-Star with a 3.88 ERA (6-14) in 197.1 innings.
  • Pablo Lopez was limited to 21 starts and 111.1 innings in 2019 due to a shoulder strain.
  • Marlins Park will move the center field wall in seven feet to 400 feet, and right-center field 12 feet in to 387 ft. Additionally, a turf field has been installed.